👀 Circle's IP-OH

+ Tesla falls sharply after Musk and Trump feud gets nasty

Good afternoon! After nearly a decade of pleading tweets, fan petitions, and drive-thru interrogations, McDonald’s is finally giving the people what they want: the Snack Wrap. It returns July 10, just in time to rescue McDonald’s from a 3.6% sales slump and give the chicken wars a spicy new twist. Bonus: There’s a whole online shrine celebrating the wrap’s comeback like it’s Beyoncé at Coachella.

Mickey D’s isn’t just listening to fans—it’s clapping back at Chick-fil-A, Popeyes, and anyone else flexing chicken cred. This time the Snack Wrap comes loaded with McCrispy strips and attitude, in spicy or ranch. And just to keep things extra petty, Popeyes dropped its own wrap this week. Let the tortilla games begin.

MARKETS

*Stock data as of market close*

  • Stocks gave up early gains after Trump reignited his feud with Elon Musk, calling him “CRAZY” and threatening to pull federal contracts. Tesla plunged 14%, erasing its trillion-dollar status and dragging the S&P 500 and Nasdaq down with it.

  • A cheerful Trump-Xi phone call briefly lifted markets, but rising jobless claims and Musk drama flipped sentiment. Investors are now focused on Friday’s jobs report for clues on the economy’s next move.

STOCKS
Winners & Losers

What’s up 📈

  • Planet Labs exploded 49.37% thanks to the satellite imagery stock beating Wall Street forecasts, posting its first quarter of positive cash flow and record revenue. ($PL)

  • MongoDB soared 12.84% after the software company crushed analyst estimates last quarter and projected better-than-expected earnings next quarter. ($MDB)

  • Land’s End climbed 13.02% after the clothing company missed revenue forecasts but beat on profits and said tariffs won’t hurt its bottom line. ($LE)

  • Scott’s Miracle-Gro rose 10.9% after the fertilizer titan reiterated its strong full-year guidance. ($SMG)

  • Dollar Tree rebounded 9.08% after JPMorgan upgraded the stock to overweight, following a steep drop the prior day. ($DLTR)

  • Arlo Technologies jumped 11.03% after announcing it surpassed $300 million in annual recurring revenue earlier than expected. ($ARLO)

  • Five Below gained 5.59% on a strong earnings beat and optimistic forward guidance. ($FIVE)

What’s down 📉

  • ChargePoint Holdings plummeted 22.49% after posting disappointing quarterly results. ($CHPT)

  • PVH Corp. sank 17.96% despite beating last quarter’s estimates, due to slashing its second-quarter outlook. ($PVH)

  • Brown-Forman dropped 17.92% on weak earnings and guidance for the whiskey maker. ($BF.B)

  • Ciena fell 12.92% after delivering a much weaker-than-expected earnings report. ($CIEN)

  • Tesla declined 14.26% following escalating tensions between Elon Musk and President Trump. ($TSLA)

  • Winnebago Industries lost 5.99% after its guidance fell short of expectations, citing cautious consumer sentiment. ($WGO)

IPO
Circle Doubles in Wild First Day of Trading for Stablecoin Firm

Circle, the stablecoin firm behind USDC, just made the biggest splash on Wall Street since meme stocks ruled the timeline. Shares debuted at $69 and rocketed up to $83.23 by the close—good for a 168% gain on its first trading day. At one point, the stock surged 230%, pausing multiple times for volatility. So much for stable.

The Trump administration’s full-throated support of crypto didn’t hurt. With the White House openly pushing a “bitcoin superpower” agenda and legislation for stablecoin regulation moving through Congress, Circle couldn’t have picked a better time to go public.

Crypto FOMO Hits the NYSE

Circle raised $1.1 billion in its upsized IPO, giving it a market value of $18.5 billion. Toss in options and RSUs, and you’re looking at a $22 billion fully diluted valuation. USDC (the company’s stablecoin) has about $61 billion in circulation, making it the world’s #2 stablecoin behind Tether’s $154 billion USDT.

And this wasn’t some sleepy debut. Demand was so strong the deal was upsized twice, and orders outpaced available shares by 25x. Backers like BlackRock and Cathie Wood’s ARK jumped in, signaling serious institutional confidence in Circle’s crypto chops.

IPO Winter Thawed?

Circle’s debut is the biggest day-one IPO pop since 2021, and it’s breathing life back into a sluggish listing environment. After Trump’s trade war froze the IPO pipeline, a few firms like CoreWeave and eToro tested the waters—and succeeded. Now Chime, Klarna, and StubHub are prepping for their own public entrances.

Year-to-date, companies that went public in 2025 are up 15% on average—crushing the S&P 500’s <1% gain. CRCL is now the poster child of that comeback.

Big Picture: With crypto sentiment warming and DC laying down the regulatory red carpet, Circle’s blockbuster debut could mark a turning point—not just for stablecoins, but for the entire IPO market. Just don’t expect the “stable” in stablecoin to apply to its share price.

NEWS
Market Movements

POLITICAL
Tesla falls sharply after Musk and Trump feud gets nasty

Tesla just lost more money in a day than most companies are worth. Shares tanked 14% on Thursday, wiping out $152 billion in market value, after President Trump threatened to yank government contracts from Elon Musk’s companies. That drop pushed Tesla below the $1 trillion mark—settling at $916 billion—and marked its single biggest market cap loss… ever.

From “Big Beautiful Bill” to Big Ugly Fallout

This all started when Elon Musk called Trump’s tax-and-spending plan a “disgusting abomination”—not exactly the language you’d use for your old boss’s pride and joy. From there, the bromance unraveled fast. Trump clapped back by threatening Musk’s government cash flow, claiming Elon was “wearing thin” and had gone “CRAZY.” Musk responded in real-time on X with a dismissive “Whatever,” because sometimes you just have to quote Avril Lavigne when your net worth takes a nine-figure hit.

Then Came the Fireworks

Musk didn’t stop at snark. He claimed Trump would've lost the election without his help, floated impeachment, and even dropped an Epstein files accusation like it was just another Tuesday. Trump, in full counterpuncher mode, threatened to cancel every federal contract tied to Musk’s empire—SpaceX, Tesla, you name it—which have collectively brought in $22.5 billion since 2000.

The feud sent Tesla’s stock into freefall, down 18% on the week and nearly 30% for the year. It’s a brutal reversal after a surprise 22% rally in May. Analysts say the stock could face more pressure if federal EV credits are rolled back, as proposed in Trump’s “big beautiful bill”—potentially wiping $1.2B from Tesla’s bottom line.

And while Tesla still hasn’t launched its long-promised robotaxi service in Austin, competitors like Waymo are already giving rides and racking up partnerships.

Big Picture: Just weeks ago, Musk was getting a golden key to the White House. Now, he's torching the “big beautiful bill” as a fiscal dumpster fire, while Trump is threatening to torch his federal contracts. Whether this ends in reconciliation or regulatory war, one thing’s clear: when billionaires brawl, markets bruise—and nobody’s walking away clean.

Calendar
On The Horizon

Next Week

All eyes are on Friday’s jobs report—the final piece in a week packed with labor market signals. It’s the one that actually moves markets, especially after April’s surprise hiring spike left economists red-faced. This time, expectations are far lower: around 125,000 new jobs, with unemployment ticking up to 4.3% as companies navigate tariff turbulence. A miss in either direction could send stocks spinning to close out the week.

NEWS
The Daily Rundown

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